In the near future, we can forecast the weather 10 years in advance

By using Big Data, Australian Meteorological Bureau scientists can accurately predict the weather a few years or even decades ago.

Save millions of lives

Weather forecasting is always a very difficult job. But with the development of AI, scientists have been able to use the latest computer technology to make this process easier and more accurate.

If successful, this study promises to save countless lives from natural disasters such as earthquakes, floods and droughts.

Picture 1 of In the near future, we can forecast the weather 10 years in advance
The new system can predict and give early warning of dangerous disasters many years in advance.Photos: (internet).

Experts are using computer models to analyze huge amounts of planetary climate information. They hope to build an accurate weather forecasting algorithm called "synthetic forecasting".

By importing as much detailed information about the weather into the system, including some previous climate predictions, the team hopes this AI can forecast the weather in the future.

In the context of the climate is changing vertically for people, a system capable of accurate prediction and early warning can save millions of lives.

The most modern machines currently can only be predicted with relative accuracy within 1 week to 1 month.

To check the accuracy of the system, Australian scientists will compare the predictions of AI with actual weather events that have taken place over the past 100 years. If the results of the upcoming tests are accurate, the new computer system will change the entire industry in predicting the weather, the scientists said.

Still at the experimental stage

"We are studying a huge amount of data up to 4 petabytes. At this point, the system is still working well and on the right track , " said Dr. Peter May, director of research at the department . ; even some big events like El Nino have been correctly forecasted, if there is nothing wrong, we are confident in the possibility of this study '.

Dr. May also mentioned the group's efforts at a Mathematical Science event held at Queensland University of Technology, Australia. However, he still thinks the system is not ready to go into operation; The research results are still at the 'experimental' stage.

Picture 2 of In the near future, we can forecast the weather 10 years in advance
Early warning can help save millions of lives.(Photo: Sony).

This is the first big step for scientists in the method of weather forecasting since 1920.

In 1917, while working at the Friends of the West Front Ambulance Unit in the First World War, the English mathematician Lewis Fry Richardson decided to improve existing techniques. .

Similar to the operating mode of the system being studied, Richardson also makes predictions based on large data research. However, he did not think this method could be used in the future.

Although the large amount of data that a computer can "read" today is far different from the time when mathematicians studied it, both methods of prediction are basically 1.