IT 2005: The ecstatic prophecies and ... the most

Last June, news that Apple announced it would choose to use Intel's new generation of chips has shocked the technology industry. However, Apple's decision to end the 11-year partnership with IBM is not the only bomb, it has been predicted.

In fact, this incident was first predicted right from the beginning of 2003. At that time, expert John Dvorak predicted that Apple would switch to Intel chips within 18 months.

This type of prediction is not unprecedented in the history of the technology industry. Previously, people had anticipated the collapse of the dotcom fever, or the court's ruling required closing Napster. Let's review the "sorrowful" astrology of 2005.

This prediction was published in January by technology expert Robert Cringley. He said that the cost of installing a hotspot (hotspot) is not expensive and users will not spend much money to use Wi-Fi. However, when it is a free application, it is welcomed by everyone and become popular.

Other predictions: Cringley said that in 2005, Linux desktop will achieve some progress (too general for grading), RIAA will continue to sue users of file-sharing networks (True) and Microsoft's jump. In the anti-virus software / service business, antispyware will be a disaster for users (this hasn't happened yet to be verified).

Apple switched to Intel chips - a "melancholy" prediction by technology expert John Dvorak

2. Google may buy AOL again

At the end of last year, in his 2005 Forecast list, expert Rob Enderle suggested that Google's merger route this year could include AOL and Novell, aiming to boost the fight against Microsoft. . On December 20, Google announced it agreed to pay $ 1 billion to own 5% of AOL's shares.

Other predictions: The LCD screen will lower the price (right).

But there are also predictions that make people laugh. Here are portraits of this type of "gourd duck".

1. 2005 is the year of "Penguin"

When Wal-Mart introduces a Linux-based notebook computer for under $ 500, fans of open source predict that the Penguin will . take off. Linux expert Michael Robertson also wrote in "2005 Forecast" that in 2005, when entering any store in the US, you can also buy a Linux desktop or laptop.

In fact, today Wal-Mart has no more patience to sell this notebook model. Also on its website, this item is titled "Not in stock".

2. Poor semiconductor

IDC said that Semiconductor in 2005 will be sluggish, but in fact, the industry's global revenue has increased by 7%.

IDC experts predict that the semiconductor industry's global sales in 2005 will fall by 2%. But if Gartner's statistics are correct, global chip sales have increased by 7% to $ 235 billion last year. This is just the original data.

1. Wireless will continue to replace landline phones.

The judgment of Jeff Pulver, an Internet phone expert, focuses on the obvious. At the current pace of development, it's really wireless that is gradually "squeezing" fixed telecommunications.

Other predictions: Pulver also said that 2005 will be the year of VoIP (right) and VoIP firms will issue shares for the first time this year (Everyone expects that but this has not happened yet).

2. Blogs are strong and rich

A year ago, online media expert John Battelle predicted that by the end of 2005, the world would recognize blogs as "an essential part of life". This, anyone who is a blogger can say it like that. He also said that ads will fall on strong blogs (Again an accurate prediction - but obviously).

Thien Y