Predicting malaria epidemic thanks to sea temperature

Based on changes in sea temperatures in the South Atlantic Ocean, one can predict malaria in Northwest India long before it broke out, The Hindustan Times said.

Every year, Indian malaria spreads another 9 million people, giving the country serious human and property losses. People have been looking for what is involved in this outbreak to be able to predict, to prevent and deal first.

India is one of the areas where malaria is raging.

One of the factors discovered through statistics, is that when low July temperatures are malaria raging in Delhi, Rajasthan, Punjab and Haryana states. Therefore, there may be a period of 4 months to prepare for prevention.

The author of this finding is scientists from the University of Michigan (USA) and if so, it is more effective than any other prediction method.

For example, at present, people often use data on the rainy season. On that basis, it is predicted that wherever heavy rain occurs, communicable anophen mosquitoes face favorable conditions to proliferate and spread malaria. It's quite accurate, but it only allows for a month's forecast - the time is too fast for medical professionals to get back on hand.

American epidemiologists have joined in to solve this problem. They analyzed the frequency of malaria outbreaks in Indian states for more than 20 years from 1985 to 2006 and compared this data with the climate model.

From there they discovered that every time the water temperature in the South Atlantic in July was below normal, that year's rainfall would increase markedly and a few months later in the Northwest Indian states malaria broke out again.

This conclusion proved effective and reliable. If so, then make accurate predictions, it will help India limit the great damage caused by malaria epidemic.