How many more opportunities do you have to live for 4 more years?

US scientists have just released a strange test, allowing anyone outside the 50-year-old to visualize some of their chances of survival within the next four years. Accuracy up to 81%.

It is possible to know in advance the time of survival. (Photo: askforresearch, VNE) Test "fortune teller" is the research result of the San Francisco Veterans Agency Medical Center (USA). It consists of 12 simple questions surrounding demographic, gender, age, disease and just a few minutes to complete.

To get these 12 " lives", research leader Sei J Lee and colleagues must collect data from nearly 20,000 people over 50 from 1998 to 2002. They classify participants into 3 groups based on on demographics, gender, age and disease (such as cancer, diabetes, heart disease, hypertension), and ability to handle everyday activities such as dress, shopping and financial management main . Next, the group counted the number of deaths as of December 31, 2002, analyzing the factors related to their deaths, and grouping them into the main variables in the calculation of death rates. death. According to Lee, this test can be a valuable diagnostic tool for doctors in the preliminary assessment of a patient's health.

List of 12 questions as follows:

1. Age: 60-64 (1 point), 65-69 (2 points), 70-74 (3 points), 75-79 (4 points), 80-84 (5 points), over 85 (7 points).
2. Sex: Male (2 points).
3. Body mass index (BMI): less than 25 (1 point).
4. Diabetes: 2 points.
5. Cancer (including mild forms of skin cancer): 2 points.
6. Chronic lung disease causes limited activity or needs mechanical ventilation at home: 2 points.
7. Congestive heart failure: 2 points.
8. Smoking last week: 2 points.
9. It is difficult to wash yourself due to health problems or memory: 2 points.
10. Difficulty managing money, paying bills, tracking spending due to memory or health problems: 2 points.
11. Difficulty walking due to health: 2 points.
12. Difficult to push or pull large objects such as health seats: 1 point.

Score and risk of death. The higher the score, the greater the risk of death.

1. 0-5 points: less than 4% of the risk of death.
2. 6-9 points: 15% risk of death.
3. 10-13 points: 42%.
4. 14 points or more: 64%.

My Linh (according to IOL)