The Ebola epidemic will be more raging for a year

American scientists speculate, the current Ebola epidemic in West Africa will last another 12-18 months.

Plague researchers have created models for simulating Ebola outbreaks on computers at the request of the National Institutes of Health and the US Department of Defense. This model even made a less optimistic prediction than the World Health Organization's (WHO) guess last month.

WHO has expressed hope to control the current Ebola epidemic in the next 9 months, with the total number of infections reaching 20,000 before the epidemic ends. This organization still does not change its prediction.

According to the New York Times, many researchers believe that Ebola virus can grow at a rate of nearly 20,000 individuals per month. Although not publicly available, some insidious experts expressed concern about the risk of Ebola virus even turning into infectious forms in the air, making the outbreak more difficult to control.

Ebola virus is spreading very fast in West Africa.In the picture, a child is covering his nose and watching a suspect man with Ebola lying on a roadside in Liberia.(Photo: AP)

The latest WHO statistics show that about 2,300 people have been killed in a total of more than 4,300 cases of Ebola infection in West Africa in the past 6 months. This is the worst outbreak since the disease was first discovered in 1976.

WHO warned that thousands of new Ebola infected fish could occur every week in Sierra Leone, Guinea and Nigeria in early October. The epidemic could spread to 15 countries, threatening the lives of nearly 22 million people, according to a new study.

However, behind closed meeting room doors, microbiologists fear, what we see is just the surface and the Ebola virus can change to be able to spread in the air. Michael Osterholm, director of the Center for Research and Policies on Infectious Diseases at the University of Minnesota (USA), said experts are reluctant to discuss their worries in public because they do not want the public to shiver. .

Still, Chairman of the British Health Protection Agency, Professor David Heymann of London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, said that we cannot predict how the virus will change. Scientists in the world still do not know enough information about genetic characteristics, so that Ebola virus will change over time.

Meanwhile, with the rate of people dying from Ebola in West Africa increasing as fast as last week, WHO announced that the campaign against this evil disease requires at least 500 foreign experts. Charity Doctors Without Borders (MSF) also called on rich countries to send military groups to West Africa to strengthen health systems that have completely collapsed due to epidemics.

Cuba last week also announced that it will send 165 health workers to Sierra Leone next month. This is the force of foreign doctors and nurses committed to supporting Ebola-rich countries, the largest ever.

The US military also recently said it would build a $ 22 million field hospital with 25 treatment beds in Liberia, to take care of infected health workers. After construction is completed, the US military will give it to Liberia authorities for management.

France also said it would send 20 biotech disaster experts to Guinea, while Britain would build and operate a 62-bed hospital in Sierra Leone.

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