The predictions are 'very convincing' but they are wrong by 2020

Contrary to predictions, artificial intelligence and robots are not yet common in everyday life of 2020. It is still unthinkable to go on a trip to the Moon or to 150 years old.

Imagine waking up in the morning, rushing to send a "virtual" hug to a relative thousands of miles away, jumping in a car with a monkey driver. A long day is waiting but just a few more days and you will have a wonderful vacation on the Moon.

Picture 1 of The predictions are 'very convincing' but they are wrong by 2020
A 1958 painting simulating the lives of people in the future - (Image: Getty Image).

It sounds weird, but it's a vision of 2020 that previous generations imagined. They even believe that by 2020, robots will replace humans to do chores and our life expectancy will increase to 150 years.

In fact, rapid progress over the past decade and a number of prominent trends are happening as we predicted many years ago. However, some things have yet to materialize.

Revolutionary robot

Picture 2 of The predictions are 'very convincing' but they are wrong by 2020
A robot playing a Toyota piano in 2007 - (Photo: AFP)

"Futurists and technology experts believe that robots and artificial intelligence in various forms will become part of everyday life by 2020 and will almost completely undertake manual work. " , CNN cites an article from Elon University in 2006.

English futurist Ian Pearson goes even further."Awareness is just a possibility and that is what we are trying to put into computers. I think we can create a cognitive computer with super intelligence before 2020," Pearson once said. with the British Observer in 2005.

"It will definitely have feelings. Suppose I am on a plane and I want the computer to be more afraid of falling than I am, it will do everything to not fall . " But in fact, when it comes to 2020, computers still do not have human emotions.

Share on CNN recently, Mr. Pearson admitted "everything is not as fast as I expected". "I estimate AI development is 35% to 40% slower than we expected , " he said.

However, the rise of robots is really taking place. " You can go into some car factories and see no one there , " Mr. Pearson said. Some things have been going as planned as the explosion of social networks, messages .

Making predictions for 2030, Mr. Pearson said that then "we can turn an entire city into a smart city in just a few weeks, with very, very cheap traffic. People, cities and the environment will enjoy great benefits ".

Humans still need food

Picture 3 of The predictions are 'very convincing' but they are wrong by 2020
Humans still can't give up food by 2020 - (Image: AFP)

Ray Kurzweil, the futurist, predicts that humans will not need food by 2020. "Billions of tiny nanobots in the digestive tract and blood can intelligently extract the exact amount of nutrients they consume. we need, " wrote Mr. Kurzweil in his book Fantastic Voyage: Live Long Enough to Live Forever (2004).

Even though tiny robots are still unable to replace food, some predictions of food trends are approximate. A 1913 New York Times forecast that Americans would give up meat and live on vegetables and rice, and over a hundred years later, the trend of vegetarianism is booming. Scientists are also reminding us to eat less meat to protect the environment.

Still unable to vacation on the Moon

Picture 4 of The predictions are 'very convincing' but they are wrong by 2020
Simulation of the Big Falcon Rocket project with Elon Musk's ambition to set up the Moon base - (Image: SpaceX)

The story of traveling on other planets has been predicted for decades. By 2009, this vision seemed very close when a series of companies and individuals wanted to turn the decade of 2010 into a decade of space travel.

"By 2020, you will see people going around the Moon," said Eric Anderson of Space Adventures on Space.com in 2009. Elon Musk, the founder of Tesla and SpaceX, is even more confident in declaring " will have serious plans to go to Mars with everyone by 2020 ".

But plans to put tourists in orbit have been delayed for a decade and hundreds of subscribers still only get "next year" and "next year" promises .

"We now have private companies building their own commercial passenger vehicles. That's the difference between the previous decade and the previous decades," said Laura Forczyk, founder of the private company. Interview with Astralytica, reviews. However, we will still need a very thick wallet to view the Earth from space in 2030.

"Humans are very ingenious, it can happen . As long as the dream is there, people will continue to realize it," Forczyk said.