Great extinction worldwide may take place in 2100
The algorithm is based on previous great extinctions that indicate the Earth is about to experience a catastrophic destruction at the end of this century.
The Earth is on the way to begin the 6th major extinction in 2100 due to the amount of carbon discharged into the atmosphere, according to the calculation of the five demise events that took place earlier in 540 million years, Independent yesterday. reported.
Professor Daniel Rothman, co-director of Lorenz Center of the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, hypothesizes that the natural cycle disorder of carbon through the atmosphere, ocean, plant and animal life, plays an important role in Great extinctions.
Polar bears are classified as endangered animals due to climate change.(Photo: Caters News).
Professor Rothman studies 31 changes in the carbon cycle and finds that 4 out of 5 previous great extinctions occurred when the disorder crossed the disaster threshold. The greatest great extinction named Great Dying took place 248 million years ago and caused 96% of the species on Earth to disappear, with the largest crossing.
Based on an analysis of major extinctions, Professor Rothman developed a mathematical formula that helps predict the amount of carbon released into the atmosphere before the 6th extinction extinction.
The result of calculating 310 gigatons of carbon in the best case is still higher than 10 gigatons compared to the projected emissions of 2100 by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The worst scenario is over 500 gigatons of carbon.
Professor Rothman also emphasized that major extinction events are not necessarily related to changes in the carbon cycle, as in the great extinction of the Devon century more than 360 million years ago. He said phenomena such as volcanic eruptions, climate change and other environmental factors also contributed to the great extinction. But changes in the carbon cycle are still a consideration.
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