Predict the hot sun record in 2014

Recently, scientists have predicted, 75% of the 2014 possibility will be the hottest year in history because the El Nino weather model seems ready to blow a large amount of heat into the Earth's atmosphere. .

El Nino is an abnormal warming phenomenon of Pacific sea temperature that changes the atmospheric circulation, causing the average global heat background to rise and causing extreme weather events such as flooding and drought. drought, sudden temperature changes .

Picture 1 of Predict the hot sun record in 2014
The image shows what happens when the El Nino phenomenon hits the Pacific equatorial water surface.Unusual warm water (red) grows in the Central Pacific.The wind will blow a large amount of steam from the Pacific to evaporate and push the steam to South America.

By analyzing the water temperature in the Eastern Pacific, along the equator, scientists can only make predictions about this El Nino phenomenon before about 6 months.

However, today, instead of analyzing the water temperature in a specific region of the Pacific, researcher Armin Bunde of Justus Liebig University in Giessen (Germany) and colleagues consider the air temperature in Thai Binh region. Ocean.

Picture 2 of Predict the hot sun record in 2014
Satellite images show that the surface temperature of the sea is warmer than the average in the Eastern Pacific.The red spot is where the heat is warmer than usual.

Accordingly, experts predict, 75% of the possibility of El Nino phenomenon will take place at the end of 2014, after it has been absent for 2 years. Andrew Watkins, who oversees climate predictions at the Australian Bureau of Meteorology, said: "There is no denying the signs of an increasing El Nino phenomenon, this extreme weather pattern may appear. in early June, and thrived in the last months of the year ".

Andrew Watkins added: "This is an important study, showing that both unusual and dry climatic phenomena will become significant in the coming years. This means that floods and droughts are caused by El. Nino caused in the future will become worse and worse. '