Why is the weather forecast often wrong?

Rainy weather is a story, but going out is my story . alone!

The weather, always a difficult woman to change her xinxing even faster than rotating outages .

Bright sunshine, wet afternoon, wet afternoon. Thought the sun burst the head but rained the whole city. Having gone to work all week, she could not walk out of the house, but at the end of the week, a beautiful skirt was able to catch the toe to the door which was raining heavily. Any seeds are as big as an automobile bowl, so don't dare go anywhere .

Also acknowledged, it was a "forecast" , there was never a 100% probability , but the brothers and sisters, who were radiantly beautiful, came out to the streets to become a wet, bad child from head to bottom. I also have to make a curse. The earth was uncomfortable and the feeling of being deceived by television!

Picture 1 of Why is the weather forecast often wrong?
As soon as I stepped out onto the road, the rain was as big as a car bowl facing my face .

Speaking of which, I have to say again, the weather forecast today is very good. But just like the previous day, you still have to complain long. After decades of hard work, meteorologists also gradually improve the accuracy of weather forecasts. But to be 100% accurate, this is probably unbelievable . And that's why the weather forecast is often wrong.

The weather forecast today does not have to stand on the high station, observe 4 directions 8 directions with the naked eye, then take out the paper to measure the wind direction as before. Which era is it but also crafted. All were replaced with mathematical formulas and models, of course, with supercomputers as well.

It's not just such a monumental meteorological station. Around the world, hundreds of thousands of such stations are connected. The data is collected from temperature sensors, humidity mounted on commercial airplanes, flying over and over. Or if at sea, just look at those life buoys, attach measuring devices, not to throw them for sea garbage. In the upper atmosphere, of course, this task belongs to the balloon and the satellites.

Picture 2 of Why is the weather forecast often wrong?
The weather forecast said it was very cool today, but why is it 6am then blue?

After obtaining millions of data information, supercomputers began to show their bravery. Supercomputers use complex algorithms to predict climate change. But perhaps supercomputing is not perfect as I thought. Nothing is perfect, so there are still errors !

Many factors from the environment, climate, the rotation of the Earth's axis, the intensity of the sun, the wind pressure difference . have too much impact on the data, but sometimes the algorithm cannot analyze it all, to get 100% correct results. Just changing a tiny variable is enough to cause huge weather changes.

The right weather forecast is just to "forecast". The meteorologists do not say that the "announcement" is so strict that they require 100% accuracy. Anyway, if within 12 hours of watching the weather forecast, you can still fully trust this information.

Picture 3 of Why is the weather forecast often wrong?
This round circle is the Radar system measuring clouds and wind.

Another electric harmful means used by meteorologists for weather forecast is Radar Doppler . This smooth luxury system signals the sky, and bounces back when it encounters an obstacle. Any cloud that is funny will play around, it will get feedback on the station, and the one who is smart, knows what will stay away will be preserved.

This Radar system sounds very terrible but it is . horrible. Thanks to it, meteorologists can measure the density of clouds in the sky, know where the wind direction is blowing and how fast it is like "Fast and Furrious" .

Picture 4 of Why is the weather forecast often wrong?
Just have to be prepared with the brothers and sisters.

In short, after reading this article, I came to the conclusion that thanks to advanced science and technology, the weather forecast is much faster and more accurate.Although many times still wrong, but all due to objective reasons , can be sympathetic.

If you still don't sympathize, then please, but remember to bring an umbrella and a raincoat even if the weather forecast says today the sun cracked the road surface!