El Nino is back

Strategic forecasting organization Stratfor identifies the warmer Pacific surface temperatures, indicating the return of El Nino weather.

The World Meteorological Organization (WMO) says this El Nino cycle has started since late July and will last until the end of this year or early 2010, significantly shorter than the average of 12-18. months in previous cycles.

Stratfor said that although this El Nino cycle is weaker and shorter than the previous times, the extent of its impact on the weather in the regions is very difficult to accurately predict.

The Australian Meteorological Agency forecasts that rainfall in the spring (September to November) in the Southern Hemisphere will be lower than the annual average on most Australian territories. The reason is that offshore wind blowing from east to west in the equator in the El Nino cycle is very weak, even lost, making the rain impossible to disperse on a large scale and making the surface of warm water in the South Pacific spread Extra wide to the coast of South America.

(Photo: TTO)

Meanwhile, this warm water belt makes the climate in Southeast Asia become wetter. This phenomenon caused drought in some areas, while flooding in other areas, badly affecting agricultural production.

In recent months the La Plata Delta region in South America has suffered the most severe drought in the past 50 years, adversely affecting Argentina's agricultural production, pushing the country to the risk of importing beef and rice. noodles. The longer dry season than usual this year has also caused Venezuela to lose its big season.

The rainfall in Victoria state of Australia has dropped to its lowest level in two years and in some areas has dropped to a historic low. Stratfor thinks that the El Nino drought will affect Australia's agricultural production this year.