Red spots warn of the coming flood and rain!

Dang Ngoc Khoa

These are red points that represent storms and regions that are likely to become storms in the northwest Pacific and northern Indian Ocean that appear on the map of JTWC (USA) during the past 24 hours. Wind Sidr in the Bay of Bengal has just begun to wind over 180km / h. This is Typhoon 6 storm in northern Indian Ocean, while Typhoon Tapah in the northwest Pacific is about to end in the far sea.

The surface of the North Indian sea is still very hot, so Typhoon Sidr is very strong, while a part of the Pacific Northwest is overflowed by cold water in the north, so it starts to cool below 26 degrees Celsius. to Australia. Of course the Philippine and Vietnamese waters are also indirectly affected by its wide range.

This year, scientists predict the Pacific Northwest will have approximately 27 storms, not many and aggressive as in 2006 due to the abnormal El Nino at the time. Although the 2007 typhoon was weak, it caused many floods because the cold water of La Nina was rising in the eastern Pacific Ocean. According to CPC / NOAA (USA), La Nina is not too aggressive, but it is enough to cause unusual weather phenomenon from 11/2007 to 1/2008.

Forecast map to November 19 of ECMWF Europe

The constant flood situation in China, Indonesia and Vietnam is now evidence. Above average rain in Indonesia is still in the sights of meteorologists. This means, flooding in the Pacific Northwest countries is still not over.

Particularly in Vietnam, contributing to the historic flood in the past few days there are remnants of Typhoon Peipah. In the afternoon of November 12, from Nevada, via satellite phone, Dr. Tran Tien Khanh said: ' The heavy rains in the Central region are influenced by two high pressure areas in southern China and in the East Sea of ​​Vietnam. The GOES IR East Sea dynamic map on the website vnbaolut.com clearly indicates that they incorporate the typhoon thrust leftover of Peipah. This remnant encounters the Truong Son citadel, obstructing it, bouncing back and forth, causing extremely heavy rain upstream. Sparse forest, flood quickly swept down. Central high mountains, deep streams, tight falls, steep slopes should intensify flood strength. On the other hand, because La Nina is operating, the rain is higher than normal is understandable '.

Hoi An ancient town, until November 13, some places still flooded (Photo: ĐKKK)

But not necessarily the flood season in 2007 ended in Vietnam. According to the Central Hydrometeorological Center (NCHMF), there is still at least one flood . Four red spots on the JTWC map contribute to the forecast. Among them, it is particularly concerned that the disturbance is present at 7.9 degrees north latitude 152.4 degrees longitude recorded by the JTWC at Fair level, capable of becoming a storm. In 2006, many disturbances appeared in this position and then overflowed through the Philippines into our East Sea. On the other hand, the Philippines continues to warn the northeast monsoon winds continue to increase, bringing heavy rains and winds of 30km / h to the island nation. The Philippines sneezes, Vietnam sneezes, the area of ​​long-standing weather proves this.

This flood has not fully withdrawn, there is a new warning that nobody wants. Four red points on the JTWC forecast map than any reminder. The time has come to focus on all material talents and have an appropriate plan to receive the new flood. From Europe, the ECMWF forecasting agency also foreseeed remotely about this extremely bad weather phenomenon for the Philippines and Vietnam .