Southern Europe increased by 5 degrees Celsius by 2100
(Climate change) - Climate change and population growth will increase 80% of the drought situation by 2100, the researchers confirmed.
- A new study conducted by the European Commission predicts that water shortage will become the worst due to population growth and increased water demand .
- By the end of the century, the Southern European region - including the Iberi and Italian peninsula - would be drought more than 80% more than today.
- The flow of rivers and streams can be reduced by about 40%.
Europe will suffer more severe droughts due to climate change and increase water use, scientists have warned.
Researchers have used computer models to predict areas of Europe that could be badly affected by rising temperatures and strong water use.
Giovanni Forzieri, a climate risk researcher at the European Commission's Climate Research Center, said: 'Our research shows that there are many river basins, especially in the lateral areas. South of Europe, tends to fall into the period of reduced water supply due to climate change ".
'The demand for water is increasing, due to an increase in population and strong demand for water for irrigation and industry, will cause a sharp decline in water levels of rivers and streams. "
They analyzed the climate and hydrological models of different scenarios that occurred for 2100.
Luc Feyen, a hydrologist at the European Commission, said: 'Scenarios are stories of possible developments - in this study up to 2100 - of human society that we used to determine future greenhouse gas emissions and water demand by different regions ".
Climate models and water use will then improve greenhouse gas concentrations and the need to use water into future climate and water use projects.
Scientists have used these predictive conditions to create a hydrological model of all river basins in Europe that simulate the distribution and flow of water. They found that the regions of Southern Europe would be most affected.
The minimum flow of rivers and streams can be reduced by an additional 40% and the drought period can increase by 80% in semi-Iberi, south of France, Italy and the Balkan region.
The study, published in the journal Earth Systems and Hydrology (Hydrology and Earth System Sciences), also found that the global average temperature will increase by about 3.4 ° C by 2100.
Scientists have predicted that drought will last longer and occur more frequently and warn that Europe will warm up - especially in the southern parts of the continent - to be even stronger. half.
'For example, throughout the Iberi Peninsula, summer temperatures are expected to rise to 5 ° C and by the end of the century, " Dr. Feyen added.
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