El Nino re-exported - storms will end soon?

World meteorological agencies announced that El Nino is likely to re-export later this year in the Pacific and forecast that the rainy season may end soon.

'El-Nino is showing signs of reappearing ' - Representative of the Center for Climate Diagnosis, US Oceanic-Atmospheric Administration (NOAA), confirmed. Some US states like Arizona also announced, officially ending the rainy season and starting a new weather regime influenced by El Nino.

The warning was released when US scientists discovered the rapid warming of seawater on the equatorial area stretching nearly 10,000 km from the middle of the Pacific to the coast of South America from mid-August to now on.

This fact contradicts the statement at the Center for Meteorological and Climate Research, the Vietnam Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology, which is running a modern forecasting model, when scientists here say, ENSO ( intermediaries between El Nino and La Nina) continue to be the main phenomenon until the end of this year.

During the past two weeks, equatorial flow temperature has been markedly increased. Forecast, this year El Nino will last until early 2007.

Along with the rising sea temperature is the wind of wind in the decline and the male oscillator index (SOI) has been continuously negative in the last four months. All of these signs show that El-Nino may reappear in the last months of 2006 and early 2007.

Also due to the fact that the sea temperature is higher than normal since April, the weather is drier than usual in Malaysia, the Philippines and especially Indonesia. These are the first countries affected by El-Nino.

Unusual developments in the equatorial flow temperature on the Pacific Ocean.
The chart shows that the surface temperature of the sea surface has increased since April 2006 (Photo: TienPhong)

If El-Nino is re-exported, Central and Western Canada and the western US will have warmer winters. Drought, forest fires will threaten eastern Australia, Central America, and the western Pacific islands like Indonesia, the Philippines, even in South India .

In contrast, typhoons, heavy rains, floods will rage in South America like Bolivia, Ecuador, and the eastern Pacific islands.

Remarkably, El Nino can limit storms not only in the Pacific Ocean but also in the Atlantic Ocean. So far, the Atlantic region has only 8 storms in it, there are 3 big waves.

This time last year, there were 15 attacks including 8 big storms. In the western Pacific Ocean, this season's storm season has 13 active storms and seems no more than the years.

However, scientists warn, do not rush to be happy because the above judgment is only true on the basis of probability. In fact, each phenomenon has the opposite.

According to meteorologists, it is very difficult to answer the monsoon weather or the rainy season in the end of the year, although it is quite easy to predict the start of the monsoon.

Based on experience, some meteorologists think that the rainy season usually ends at the end of September in the north of our country and this time is later when moving gradually south.

QD