The future of death - How will people die in 2030?

By relying on the World Bank's predictions for socio-economic development over the next 25 years, the World Health Organization researchers have begun to predict global trends in death and diseases.

Among the predictions that sounded serious, the two leading causes of death are heart disease and stroke - they will still hold their rankings. However, by 2030, HIV / AIDS will increase its ranking from fourth to third place - becoming the third leading cause of death worldwide as well as a common cause. Most cause disease weakens.

One of the most obvious consequences of development is that more people will die and be injured by traffic accidents, and the number of tobacco-related deaths is also expected to increase, accounting for 10% of the total. number of deaths in 2015.

HIV is believed to be the third cause of death by 2030. Countries in Africa and South Asia will be particularly affected.(Photo: sciam.com)

In fact, the World Health Organization estimates that the number of deaths due to tobacco use that year is 50%, although tobacco itself is not listed as the cause of death. . The number of deaths from tobacco-related diseases will be fairly evenly divided between cancers, cardiovascular disease and respiratory disease.

The report, which is the most comprehensive, certainly has some ' bright spots '. For example, it predicts that the number of maternal and maternal deaths will become less common as well as infant mortality and nutritional deaths. Thanks to the development of prosperity and better health care methods, by 2030, the risk of death in children under 5 years of age is expected to be reduced by more than 40%. The death rate from tuberculosis, malaria and other infectious diseases (not HIV) will also decrease. And people around the world will then live longer with the greatest achievements appearing in Africa and South Asia.

Thien Kim