Deciphering code makes millions fear

This is a phenomenon causing insecurity for thousands and thousands of families for a long time, whenever families have funerals, especially after sudden mourning due to accidents and dangerous illnesses .

Being threatened by 'fortune tellers' about 'homicide time' , it is likely that many people will die according to the ill-fated people, many families have taken care of them, costing them money to pray.

Colonel, Dr. Do Kien Cuong, a lecturer of the Department of Physics at Pham Ngoc Thach University of Medicine, Ho Chi Minh City, explained the problem.

Folk concept haunts people

According to the concept of folklore, the phenomenon of mourning is the phenomenon that a family with a family member dies at the same time, falls into a murderous life (Dan, Body, Snake, Pig), then in turn their relatives also died until the death toll was 3, 5, 7 or 9 people.

For example, a family shared the following: Their family had an older brother who died at the time of the Tiger, on the day of the Tiger, not yet passed 49 days before his mother died. A year later, the youngest brother died from an accident. The family was terrified and went to see the fortune telling, they said they were "mourning".

Praying prayers to turn the disintegration into mourning just to make the psychology of people more comfortable

The folk also argue that the source of this disaster is due to the rebellion of the " army", so the only way to resolve it is to "confine " it . It is rumored that Ham Long Pagoda (Thuan Thanh, Bac Ninh) is the biggest confining place in the country (!). And every family that sends it here will be given a charm to wear for three years to avoid it. In fact, most families with newcomers go to see it, and wear or paste these charms at home.

Coincidence creates panic

From the point of view of statistics, the coincidence is simply a coincidence of randomness . The coincidence between random variables occurs more often than the visualization of ordinary people like us.

Encyclopedia of anomalous phenomena, published in the US in 1996, in the section Acknowledgments emphasizes: 'Coincidence occurs frequently in everyday life. They make us happy, confused and shocked. They are annoying and create panic . They can change our lives; where we work; we live together; and many basic characteristics of everyday life seem to be based on coincidence. '

So what is the nature of coincidence ? That is the big number law in probability theory and statistics. This law states simply as follows: With a large enough sample, any strange phenomenon can happen.

In 1953, Littlewood mathematician said that a phenomenon was considered so rare that it was surprising to have a probability of 1 / 1,000,000 (one per million). For example, winning lottery jackpot prize when shooting with 6 numbers is a surprising phenomenon, because the probability is exactly the same. However, if the lottery is filmed daily, with a population of nearly 90 million people like ours today, the phenomenon is considered to be so rare that it happens 90 times a day, more than 30,000 times a year. across Vietnam. Even if it only happens monthly, the result is 1,000 times a year. As for 7 billion people across the planet, that 'rare' event will happen like a meal!

What about more rare phenomena? For example, an American woman has twice won a special number in New Jersey within four months. If every time the winner only buys one ticket, the probability of that turn is only 1 in 17 trillion. So why did it happen?

The answer is still large numerical law . For a person, the probability is only 1 out of 17 trillion. But with 300 million Americans within 120 days, the probability of winning double jackpot is only 1 in 30, a pretty big number that can happen many times in life.

With other polymerization phenomena, the appearance is even more frequent. How many people do we need to have two of them having the same birth date? One year has 365 days, so we can think of 366 people. However, the American Science magazine has calculated and gave the answer of 23 people. We may be surprised, but the calculations show that only 23 people are enough for the probability of that coincidence to be greater than 0.5 - a number that ensures it will happen rather than not happen. And the coincidence of the weather between the next two days (predicting 'tomorrow's weather like today' ) has a great probability, it happens 70 out of 100 forecasts, or a probability of 0.7. - a statistically significant number.

Returning to the mourning, the writer does not give the exact probability of a coincidence between the day and the 'close' time of folklore. But with a population of nearly 90 million people like our country, with a period of up to 1,000 days (nearly 3 years), under the law of large numbers, it is certainly a large number, the "mourning" happening so much that terrifying many families. But please calm down, it's just a coincidence.

Important is comfort psychology

Maybe there is the fact that families after their loved ones have died, if the organization of prayers will avoid the coincidence?

Prayer is only a psychological factor. Thanks to praying activities (such as 'death' ), those who are frightened will regain their calm, calming them in all situations. And also partly because the soul has relaxed, psychological comfort, the progress of the diseases that can cause death will also be better. According to medical knowledge, depending on the disease, psychological factors can affect 9 to 40% of the total number of patients. Medicine thinks that belief can help people be physically and mentally healthier so .

However, the popular belief 'there is a sacred church, a good abstinence' should be understood according to the right view of modern psychology, not the metaphysical views from thousands of years ago, when understanding. human knowledge is very primitive, sober.

Proper understanding from a scientific perspective will win the fearsome fear of 'mourning'. And that is the best way to be comfortable in dealing with any situation that can happen in 'impermanent' life .